GOP strategist Alex Castellanos said the polls projecting razor-thin margin between former president Donald Trump and vice president Kamala Harris overlooked a massive shift in Republican enthusiasm. “What I think they’re missing is a massive shift in voter registration underneath all of this. Thirty-one states have voter registration by party. Thirty of them in the past four years have seen movement toward Republicans,” the strategist said on Fox News. He said it’s not a wave but a wavelet and the pollsters ignored the Republican registration.
“I think there’s, I’m not going to call it a wave, but I think there’s a wavelet out there of Republican enthusiasm and registration. If I register to vote Republican, whether I’m switching or new, what am I going to do?”
“I think the pollsters are getting this wrong. We’re all missing something, because they’re giving us the same poll over and over again. There isn’t even statistical variation,” Castellanos said.
“It’s like they’re telling us we’re watching a basketball game where every play’s a jump ball.”
Harris vs Trump: What the latest polls said
The final NYT/Sienna poll said it will be a photo finish in the seven swing states — Harris showing new strength in North Carolina and Georgia and Trump erasing her lead in Pennsylvania and maintaining his advantage in Arizona.
It said Harris is narrowly leading in Nevada, North Carolina, Wisconsin and Trump is leading in Arizona. The battle is close in Michigan, Georgia and Pennsylvania.
Ann Selzer’s poll on Iowa which is a ruby-red state won by Trump both in 2016 and 2020 said Kamala Harris is leading in the conservation state by 3 percentage points, Donald Trump called the poll fake and Ann Selzer a Trump hater. But the poll rattled the Republicans.
Poll Guru Nate Silver whose prediction has been leaning towards Trump said the pollsters are not revealing their actual numbers to be on the safe side and projecting a close race. The actual results won’t be so close, Silver said.
