GOP pollster Mitchell Brown predicted that this year’s election will see something that hasn’t happened since 1988 and neither Donald Trump nor Kamala Harris will win all three key battleground states — Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania. The GOP pollster said the trend line is great and in favor of Trump as North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona and Nevada — the other four swing states — are good to go.
But no candidate would likely win Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania — all three. “If you look in 2016, Trump won all three of those states, obviously Biden won all three of those swing states…in 2020.” the pollster said. The winner of these three states often wins the presidency, with the exception being Democratic candidate Al Gore who won those three but lost to George W Bush.
“What I see here, is that neither candidate would win all three of those, that means Trump just taking one—he has the election won,” Brown said on Thursday.
“I still believe that Wisconsin and Pennsylvania are the two most likely to fall for Trump, but if turnout is maximized and we see a repeat, it would be all three for Trump and zero for Kamala,” the GOP pollster said.
The polls have so far predicted a tight race between Harris and Trump projecting a tied race between the two. In 2016, Hilary Clinton was kept ahead of Donald Trump by the polls but in the end, Clinton was just 2 percent ahead in the popular vote while Trump won the Electoral College.
Celebrated pollster Silver Nate said the battle is so far tied but his ‘gut feeling’ says it would be Donald Trump. Democrat analyst James Carville said it would be Kamala Harris, he’s certain. The betting markets are putting a huge money on Donald Trump — making the situation too precarious to predict anything.
