The ABC News debate presidential debate between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris is yet to show signs in the poll gains. The first few polls taken after last week’s debate show her faring better than in the polls taken beforehand, reported New York Times. But it will take another week to gauge the complete impact of any post-debate bounce. The second assassination attempt on Donald Trump on Sunday will act as an unpredictable element with the focus going away from the debate,
Harris leading Trump by 3 percentage points
According to NYT’s polling average, Kamala Harris is leading Donald Trump by three percentage points nationwide.”The contest is even tighter in the critical battleground states, where no candidate leads by even a single percentage point in enough states to win the 270 electoral votes needed to win the presidency,” the NYT report said.
The current leader in the poll average in five of the seven swing states — Michigan, Pennsylvania, Georgia, North Carolina and Arizona — is ahead by just one point or less.
What happened after debate
According to NYT average, Kamala Harris gained about one point nationwide rising from a 1.7-point lead on Wednesday morning to a 2.7-point lead as of Monday morning. This is being attributed to the debate gains though Donald Trump claimed he won the debate.
The gains for Kamala Harris might be more as most of the post-debate polls have come from online panels. They tend to shift less than other polls, as they poll highly engaged voters. Also, many people do not watch the debate on the television but they hear the post-debate coverage. An extended coverage of a debate can help the perceived winner like the debate itself but the coverage of debate is cut short by the second assassination attempt.
Harris leading Trump by 3 percentage points
According to NYT’s polling average, Kamala Harris is leading Donald Trump by three percentage points nationwide.”The contest is even tighter in the critical battleground states, where no candidate leads by even a single percentage point in enough states to win the 270 electoral votes needed to win the presidency,” the NYT report said.
The current leader in the poll average in five of the seven swing states — Michigan, Pennsylvania, Georgia, North Carolina and Arizona — is ahead by just one point or less.
What happened after debate
According to NYT average, Kamala Harris gained about one point nationwide rising from a 1.7-point lead on Wednesday morning to a 2.7-point lead as of Monday morning. This is being attributed to the debate gains though Donald Trump claimed he won the debate.
The gains for Kamala Harris might be more as most of the post-debate polls have come from online panels. They tend to shift less than other polls, as they poll highly engaged voters. Also, many people do not watch the debate on the television but they hear the post-debate coverage. An extended coverage of a debate can help the perceived winner like the debate itself but the coverage of debate is cut short by the second assassination attempt.
Source : Times of India
